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The Canyons Ski Report :
::: CLEARING AND CHILLY TODAY (POWDER DAY FOR MANY!!)/ PARTLY CLOUDY AND MILDER MONDAY AND TUESDAY/ SNOW AND COLDER WEDNESDAY :::
DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR SUNDAY, JANUARY 8th…Today –PARTLY CLOUDY TODAY– -> Today we see clearing from the low pressure system, with snow and skies cleared out for blue bird skies and some nice fresh powder to play in. Today continues chilly but not as cold under mostly sunny skies.
Monday and Tuesday –PARTLY CLOUDY, MILDER, CHANCE FOR SNOW TUESDAY– -> A brief ridge of high pressure builds in across the southwest, with milder temperatures under partly cloudy skies. High pressure ridging starts to break down late Monday, and on Tuesday into Wednesday we expect a chance for snow (possibly just a light dusting), as a low pressure system moves toward the northern plains and may clip northern Utah.
Wednesday –COLDER WITH SNOW– -> A progressive and unsettled west/ northwest flow aloft may carry in a cold low pressure system and some more snow for northern Utah next Wednesday. The projected path, if it remains, will cause mostly light snow totals for northern Utah/ Wasatch resort areas. 1-2″ is a broad brush forecast for all northern areas to indicate that we could see some snowfal, but that the potential for this storm to cut to the south or otherwise not hit the area as expected is there. The 50% chance for snow covers this possibility. A progressive pattern may dictate that this low does move through as expected, and in that case we will be increasing our forecast totals for some areas. We do not expect this to be a big storm however as it should be moisture-limited. CM
Monday
Jan 09, 2012
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 21°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder with dry northwest breezes.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
NW at 5-15mph, increasing to NW at 10-20mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 10-20 gusts to 25mph.
Tuesday
Jan 10, 2012
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 21°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy with winds becoming more west. Clouds increase to mostly cloudy with mostly isolated snow showers in the afternoon through overnight.
Precipitation:
20% chance for snow afternoon through overnight.
Snow Potential
A trace afternoon – overnight.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 15-25 gusts to 35mph.
Wednesday
Jan 11, 2012
Hi 30°f / -1°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers in the morning, then skies clear out to partly cloudy with increased winds.
Precipitation:
20% chance for snow in the morning.
Snow Potential
A trace in the morning.
Wind:
NW/ N at 10-20mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 15-25 gusts to 40mph.
Thursday
Jan 12, 2012
Hi 30°f / -1°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and not as cold with drier northwest breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 10-20mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 15-25 gusts to 35mph.
Friday
Jan 13, 2012
Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 19°f / -7°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and colder with increased winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
NW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 15-25 gusts to 35mph.
Saturday
Jan 14, 2012
Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 20°f / -7°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder with drier northwest breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 10-20mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
Long range forecast / discussion…January 14 to 17
–We expect another chance for snow on the 11th/ 12th (next Wednesday, possibly Thursday) as an unsettled northwest flow aloft (between high pressure across the west coast and low pressure across the Great lakes/ Upper Midwest) delivers some mostly fast moving shortwave low pressure systems across Colorado and northern Utah, containing potential (mostly) light snow. Toward mid January (next weekend), the ridge across the western US may start breaking down as an arctic front and strong jet stream push south out of Canada across most of the country. The degree to which high pressure across the eastern Pacific weakens (it may not be much), will determine how much snow is possible with our snow storms, but it looks like there will be more moisture available from off the Pacific than what we have been seeing. We will watch and see how this plays out.
We have a moderate La Nina SST pattern in place through the winter, peaking in strength by January, then weakening afterward and into summer 2012. We expect a better last 1/2 to January and into February as the pattern changes. CM
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